Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Tips automatic Trading

TANPA PERLU PREDIKSI DAN SIGNAL


Ada beberapa tips trading yang bisa anda ikuti yaitu berupa Tips AUTO TRADING , HEDGING dan Kombinasi Hedging:

Tips ini hanya dilakukan untuk satu Pair saja, terserah pair apa yang anda suka

Gunakan sekitar 20% saja dari dana anda untuk setiap order

Untuk melihat trend bisa dengan Candlestick dan EMA 12-26 dengan Time Scale "Hourly" serta perbandingan "Daily"


1. Tips automatic Trading tanpa perlu prediksi dan signal.


Tips ini berupa cara melakukan trading dengan pending order type Stop
pada 1 pair saja dengan nilai order yang sama besar ( Misalnya pair
GBP/USD dengan Quantity masing-masing 1000), biasanya cukup baik mulai
dilakukan di pagi hari sekitar jam 5-6 pagi WIB ketika market belum
bergerak,
misalnya untuk pair GBP/USD dengan posisi bid :1.9420 dan offer: 1.9425 caranya sbb:

> Buatlah pending order type "Buy Stop" sekitar 15 pips diatas offer atau di: 1.9440

> Buatlah pending order " Sell Stop" sekitar 15 pips di bawah Bid atau di : 1.9405

Setelah ini anda tinggal menunggu market bergerak, Jika harga bergerak
naik atau turun salah satu order anda akan tercapai dan ada 2
kemungkinan yang akan terjadi yaitu:

1. Jika harga bergerak lurus misal naik terus /turun terus maka
salah satu order anda akan aktif. jika harga bergerak naik terus maka
pending order "Buy Stop" anda akan aktif , dan kalau sudah profit bisa
anda close, Lalu segera batalkan (Cancel) pending order "Sell stop"
anda. sebaliknya Jika harga turun terus maka "sell stop" anda yang akan
aktif dan bila sudah profit bisa anda close. Segera batalkan pending
order"Buy stop" anda. untuk order pagi hari biasanya bisa di close
sekitar pukul 8-9 pagi.

2. Kemungkinan kedua jika harga bergerak naik-turun sehingga kedua
pending order anda aktif maka akan terjadi minus (-40 pips) dan posisi
order anda berlawanan arah ( Hedging), Posisi ini akan aman biar
berapapun harga bergerak sebab jika 1 order profit maka order lain akan
minus dan sebaliknya.

Jika terjadi seperti ini, anda harus menunggu sampai pasar
bergerak cukup jauh menembus salah satu order. misalnya jika harga
sudah naik cukup besar dan jenuh/ada tanda mau turun maka anda bisa
close order "Buy" yang sudah profit, lalu tunggu order "Sell" anda
sampai berkurang minusnya dan di close. yang penting adalah
meminimalisir nilai minus/loss/rugi menjadi sekecil mungkin. Untuk
kasus seperti ini bisa kita tunggu sampai sore atau malam baru bisa
close.


2. TIPS ORDER DENGAN METODE 2 ARAH ( HEDGING)


Tips ini dilakukan dengan langsung melakukan order "Buy dan Sell"
secara bersamaan pada satu Pair dengan besar yang sama. Misalnya untuk
GBP/USD di : bid: 1.9420 dan offer: 1.9425

> Buat order " Buy" pada titik offer 1.9425

> Buat order "Sell" pada titik Bid 1.9420

Maka kedua order anda aktif dan berlawanan arah dengan total minus
-10 ( Karena Spread GU -5), Anda tinggal menunggu pasar bergerak
sehingga salah satu order akan profit dan satu minus, kemanapun harga
bergerak maka selisihnya akan tetap yaitu -10. Anda bisa menunggu
sampai pergerakan harga jenuh dan ada tanda balik arah.
Misalnya jika harga naik terus dan sudah terlihat jenuh ( Ada tanda mau
turun) maka anda bisa close order "Buy" yang sudah Profit dan tunggu
order" Sell" anda sampai berkurang minusnya lebih kecil dari profit
yang anda dapat, baru bisa di Close. Perhitungannya adalah jika anda
bisa profit +100 point dan anda Loss/Rugi -80 point, maka anda tetap
bisa profit 100-80 = 20 point.

Memang tidak besar tapi lebih aman, tak perlu prediksi dan bisa
anda lakukan kapanpun, terutama jika pasar sideways/Naik turun saja.


3. TIPS KOMBINASI HEDGING


Jika anda sudah melihat kecenderungan pasar, misalnya trend hourly
dan dailynya naik, lalu pada saat anda online trend juga masih terlihat
naik atau sebaliknya, yang jelas anda sudah bisa melihat kecenderungan
trend yang terjadi. maka anda bisa ambil order langsung sesuai trend
dengan antisipasi order type Stop yang berlawanan misalnya:

> Jika anda merasa harga akan naik, maka bisa langsung
melakukan order "Buy" dan sebagai antisipasinya anda bisa mengambil
pending order "Sell Stop" sekitar 30-50 pips di bawah order Buy anda.
Jika prediksi anda benar maka anda akan langsung profit dan bisa close
( Jangan Lupa Cancel "Sell Stop" nya). tapi jika salah maka pending
order anda akan aktif dan mengunci posisi agar kerugian anda bisa di
minimalkan, anda bisa terapkan langkah seperti pada Tips automatic
trading langkah kedua.

> Jika anda prediksi harga turun, maka bisa langsung
order"Sell" dan atisipasi dengan "Buy Stop" sekitar 30-50 pips di atas
order sell anda. Jika harga memang turun terus dan profit maka anda
bisa close ( Jangan lupa Cancel "Buy Stop" Nya), Tapi jika prediksi
anda salah dan harga malah naik maka posisi akan terkunci. dan ikuti
langkah seperti di bagian Tips Automatic Trading.

Semua Tips ini adalah untuk mempermudah melakukan trading tanpa perlu prediksi atau signal

Semua order sebaiknya selalu di lakukan dengan antisipasi yang
berlawanan untuk mengunci jika terjadi hal yang tidak terduga agar
peluang kerugian bisa di minimalisir dan perbesar peluang profit,
jangan sampai terjadi salah order yang bisa mengakibatkan loss/rugi
besar bahkan sampai habis modal.

Silahkan anda berlatih dengan "Virtual Trading" dulu agar bisa
melakukan tips ini dengan benar dan gunakan jika anda benar-benar bisa
meraih profit dengan Tips ini.

by: goe2ng

Saturday, September 11, 2010

SWITCHING

SWITCHING penting dilakukan guna menghindari kesalahan posisi forex yang berujung fatal. Saat kita memperkirakan harga akan naik, tapi kenyataannya harga terus turun dan turun. Bila demikian, mengapa kita terus bertahan pada keyakinan yang salah?

Switching merupakan suatu cara untuk melakukan pergantian arah secara cepat dengan cara menutup posisi kita (cut loss) yang sedang merugi karena ternyata harga bergerak berlawanan dengan prediksi yang kita lakukan. Pada saat itu kita membuka posisi baru dengan mengikuti harga yang bergerak berlawanan tersebut dan berharap akan mendapatkan keuntungan pada posisi yang kedua lebih besar dari posisi sebelumnya yang sudah merugi karena kita cut loss.

Ya, masalahnya adalah sejauh mana kita meyakini bahwa posisi kita salah. Ini juga bukan hal remeh. Perlu pengetahuan dan seperangkat analisis untuk bisa sampai pada kesimpulan bahwa kita memang salah, dan harus segera diubah.


Tentu istilah “jangan melawan harga pasar” harus lebih diutamakan daripada bersikap egois dan menyatakan harga akan kembali lagi. Switching semata-mata bersifat personal. Semua berdasarkan analisis personal di mana hanya kita yang bisa meyakini. Trend adalah sahabat anda. Meyakini trend berarti menghilangkan egoisme.

Kerugian pada posisi salah yang pertama perlu segera ditutup dan kita segera mengambil langkah lain untuk mengambil keuntungan. Lalu, bagaimana kalau analisis kedua kita ternyata salah? Dan harga memang benar-benar sesuai prediksi pertama? Apakah kita harus melakukan switching ulang?

Semua keputusan memang terserah Anda. Tapi baik bila memperhatikan hal ini: bila berturut-turut kita melakukan analisis yang salah, tutup chart Anda dan refreshing melakukan penyegaran, evaluasi mengapa kok selalu terjadi kesalahan.

Untuk itu, ada baiknya juga memperhatikan ungkapan William O’Neil ini:

“Kebanyakan investor yang tidak punya skill, keras kepala menahan kerugiannya ketika kerugiannya masih kecil. Mereka beralasan akan bisa keluar dengan keuntungan yang minimal. Mereka tetap menunggu dan menunggu dan berharap sampai kerugiannya menjadi keuntungan. Namun disayangkan biaya yang dikeluarkan juga cukup besar.”

Maka stop loss sangat berguna di sini untuk membatasi diri dan memperbaiki disiplin trading kita.

Anda sudah mengerti cara pasang stop loss di Marketiva? Jika belum silahkan baca di sini CARA PASANG STOP LOSS

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

Forex Tricks: Victoria Secret

TRIK RAHASIA FOREX

Forex Tricks: Victoria Secret
By Richie

Victoria secret adalah trik untuk ambil peluang saat market bullish jenuh. Saya gunakan trik ini di pair Eur/usd dan Gbp/usd. Saya kembangkan trik ini pada tahun 2005. Beberapa mengalami kegagalan, namun lebih sering berakhir dengan kesuksesan yang gemilang.

Menjelang akhir bulan januari lalu dengan trik ini saya bisa dapat 200 pips hanya dg 1 order dan overnight 1 malam. Namun pada awal bulan januari, saya gunakan trik ini dan mengalami loss -35 pips di eur/usd. Pada bulan desember 2005 dengan trik ini saya bisa dapat 300 pips lebih di gbp/usd setelah overnight beberapa malam (saat itu kebetulan juga dapat dukungan dari sentiment market menjelang penutupan tahun, dollar byk dibutuhkan utk bayar hutang luar negeri, sehingga penguatannya juga cukup signifikan). Untuk itu saya merekomendasikan untuk menggunakan stop loss saat menerapkannya. Gunakan stop loss selisih 35 pips untuk pair e/u dan 50 pips untuk pair g/u.

Saat mata uang dollar melemah terhadap mata uang euro atau gbp hingga memasuki area jenuhnya, jika terjadi koreksi (dollar menguat) entah karena pengaruh data ekonomi atau semata-mata alasan teknis, umumnya pergerakannya akan cukup signifikan. Di sini lah kita akan memanfaatkan peluang.

Cara paling mudah untuk mengetahui kapan market berpotensi bullish jenuh untuk cari pattern ‘victoria secret’ adalah dengan memperhatikan indicator RSI (14) pada time frame 1D. Saat trend market bullish silahkan tunggu kapan RSI (14) mulai memasuki level 65 (menembus ke atas level 65).

Gunakan bentuk ‘candlestick’ untuk mempermudah kita mencari pattern Victoria Secret. Jika RSI (14) pada time frame 1D cross ke atas level 65 perhatikan market price. Jika market price pada chart 1D membentuk ‘empty candlestick’ (harga penutupan di atas harga pembukaan), maka kita akan tunggu bentuk ‘shaded candlestick’ (harga penutupan di bawah harga pembukaan) di hari-hari berikutnya.

Jika ‘shaded candlestick’ sudah didapatkan, maka kita akan cari peluang Victoria Secret pada keesokan harinya.

Sehingga patternnya adalah sebagai berikut:
empty candlestick - shaded candlestick - victoria secret candlestick

Silahkan lihat chart yang saya lampirkan di bawah.



Yup, I know… memang dibutuhkan kesabaran dan kejelian lebih untuk dapatkan peluang ini. Namun rewardnya pun sangat layak untuk diperjuangkan.

Pada Victoria Secret candlestick, jika didapatkan harga yang sama dengan level high pada shaded candlestick (1 hari sebelumnya) maka itu adalah saat yang menarik untuk lakukan sell. Dan saya akan selalu gunakan stop loss saat peluang ini terjadi.

Jika market price bergerak mendekati stop loss, maka jangan lakukan apapun. Jika memang stop loss kita disentuh. Let it go. Itu artinya memang hati itu kita harus berdapan dengan kegagalan. Namun jika market price bergerak ke bawah (ke arah yang kita inginkan), maka peluang kemenangan besar sudah menunggu di depan mata.
Karena tujuannya adalah untuk mendapatkan kemenangan besar (Victory) dan karena umumnya peluang masuknya ini terjadi justru di saat market sedang lesu (masuk diam-diam). Saya namakan trik ini Victoria Secret.

Trik yang membuat Anda merasa ‘nyaman’ dengan profit trading Anda. Dan membuat Anda merasa senang saat ‘melihatnya’. Just like ‘the other’ Victoria Secret. You know what I mean.

TRIK EUR/USD

TRIK SUKSES EUR/USD
Posted on August 28, 2010 by Bismillah
STRATEGI EU 08.00-13.00

Strategi Aslinya begini (awas yo ini hanya berlaku utk EUR/USD) :

Pair : EUR/USD
Time Frame : M5
Jarak normal antar Grid : 15 pips
Range Daily bergerak 80-120 pips

Maka :

A. Cek di pagi jam antara jam 08.00 s/d 13.00 berapa nilai terendah/tertinggi hari itu.

B. Jika price bergerak 2 x grid = 30 pips (naik/turun) dari harga terendah/tertinggi maka
OPEN BUY/SELL TP 20-40 SL 30

C. Setelah open, misal Open Buy, harga bergerak 10 pips naik maka SL juga dinaikkan 10 pips, bila pasar
bagus TP juga dapat ditambah sebelum kesentuh, begitu seterusnya.

artinya apa ni ? artinya jika EU udah bergerak 30 pips up/down dari harga terendah hari tsb. maka dia akan meluncuur…..

Kesimpulannya: Bila EU naik/turun 20 pips maka GO BUY/SELL meluncuuuuur 20-40 pips, Ini yg disebut Strategi FOREX RUNNER : sangat mekanikal dan tanpa indikator sama sekaleeee…:))

Dalam boso jowone Main Uber-uberan ing Valas (TP & SL)

Kenapa strategi ini paling cocok di EU ?

1. Karena spread-nya paleng rendah = 2 pips
2. Karena EU kagak mencla mencle, naik ya naik, turun ya turun ), hal ini karena currency Euro relatif stabil thd. USD.

udah saya backtesting metode ini 3 bulan ini, risiko 10-20%, probabilitas keberhasilan 80-90%.

Bisa sii dipake di GU dan USD/CHF, dua pair ini spreadnya 4 pips ya ? tapi disarankan TP-nya 10-20 aja
dan SL pake 30. GU akan meluncur setelah bergerak 20 pips
dari harga Open hari ybs.

INGAT : USD/CHF 180 Derajat kebalikannya EUR/USD
JIKA UC UP maka EU DOWN!!!
Tapiii, strategi ini jangan dipake di GBP/JPY yach!!!

oleh: ekotronik

Saturday, September 4, 2010

Trik “Sabtu Pagi”

Originally Posted by kelik , lihat forum


Perdagangan forex akan ditutup tepat pada pukul 04.00 WIB pagi Sabtu di setiap akhir minggu
dan akan dibuka lagi pada hari senin berikutnya pada pukul 04.00 WIB pagi..

Tips :

Buka posisi pada pukul 03.58 WIB pagi Sabtu dengan membuat entry order/pending order pada
10 pips di atas harga saat ini & 10 pips di bawah harga saat ini (current price)
Take Profit : 10 pips

Pair : USD/JPY & GBP/JPY
Jumlah position yang ingin dibuka adalah bebas & terserah Anda.

contoh:
Current Price : 2.0000
Buy Stop @ 2.0010

Harga akan mengenai salah satu posisi (atas/bawah) & menghasilkan profit ketika forex dibuka
pada pukul 04.00 WIB senin pagi.
Cancel order posisi yang tidak disentuh oleh harga pada pada senin pagi tersebut. Dari
pengalaman teknik ini belum pernah gagal & telah banyak membantu para trader mendapatkan
profit yang lumayan besar dalam forex trading.

jumat news




































































Friday, September 3, 2010

tips marketiva

TIPS 1. NEWS
Berikut ini 10 ( sepuluh ) Besar Peringkat News yang perlu di perhitungkan :
1. NonFarm_Payroll USA (efek 100 – 200 pips).
2. Trade Balance USA (efek 70 – 120 pips).
3. Interest Rate Statements (efek 100 pips).
4. Durable Good (efek 50 – 100 pips).
5. Producer Price Index (efek 50 – 60 pips)
6. PPI excl. Food and Energy (efek 50 – 60 pips)
7. Consumer Price Index (efek 50 – 60 pips).
8. CPI excl. Food and Energy (efek 50 – 60 pips).
9. Trichet, Bernanke, & Fukui Speaks (efek 30 – 100 pips).
10. Unemployment Rate (efek 30 – 50 pips).

Nah, silahkan anda gunakan perangkap pada 10-15 menit menjelang News ini muncul. Selain dari News ini, silahkan abaikan saja[tidak berguna]...

Caranya:
* Open metatrader dengan time frame 30 Menit
* Lihat harga sekarang
* Open 25 sampai 30 pips dari harga sekarang, misal harga GBPUSD sekarang adalah 1.8425, maka anda bisa open BUY STOP 1.8450 dan SELL STOP di 1.8400.
* Ambil Target sesuai dengan Kekuatan EFEK nya, misal Take Profit = 50 (TP terserah anda)
* Jangan lupa pakai Stop Loss 50% dari target anda, misal Stop Loss = 30
* Jika anda menggunakan Metatrader untuk trading real, maka jangan lupa set Trailing Stop = 15, caranya klik kanan di order anda kemudian Set Trailing Stop 15 pips. Trailing Stop bertujuan untuk menggeser stop loss menjadi take profit. misal Stop loss mula mula adalah -40 pips, maka ketika anda profit +30 maka Stop Loss akan otomatis bergeser +15 pips dan semakin profit bertambah maka trailing stop akan otomatis bertambah.



TIPS 2 : NON FARM PAYROLL (NFP)



Trik Jitu mendapatkan 100 pips dari news NFP (trik ini hampir 90% berhasil)






Check Your Calender This Month First
Efek dari news ini sangat besar 100-200 pips dan selalu seperti itu.
Temen-temen gak usah pusing mikirin ini news apa, yang jelas, setiap JUM’AT Minggu Pertama tiap bulan, NEWS ini selalu Muncul....sebulan sekali, jam 19.30 WIB.
Efek dari News ini selalu 1 (satu) arah dengan cepat, apakah keatas apakah kebawah, nah kalo gitu...ngapain ragu.....buat perangkap ajah.
Nah, sekarang coba kita buat Perangkapnya :

Strategy :
> Sebelum News Muncul.....mulai Pagi...LIBUR Trade.
> Mulai Trade sebaiknya 30 menit menjelang News Muncul.
> Pasang Perangkap, silahkan lihat Strategy Perangkap NFP.

Caranya....:
* Open metatrader dengan time frame 30 Menit
* Lihat harga sekarang
* BUY STOP di +30 dari harga sekarang, SELL STOP di -30 pips dari harga sekarang, misal harga GBPUSD sekarang adalah 1.8430, maka anda bisa open BUY STOP 1.8460 dan SELL STOP di 1.8400.
* Ambil Target sesuai dengan Kekuatan EFEK nya, misal Take Profit = 100 (TP terserah anda)
* Jangan lupa pakai Stop Loss 50% dari target anda, misal Stop Loss = 40
* Jika anda menggunakan Metatrader untuk trading real, maka jangan lupa set Trailing Stop = 15, caranya klik kanan di order anda kemudian Set Trailing Stop 15 pips. Trailing Stop bertujuan untuk menggeser stop loss menjadi take profit. misal Stop loss mula mula adalah -40 pips, maka ketika anda profit +30 maka Stop Loss akan otomatis bergeser +15 pips dan semakin profit bertambah maka trailing stop akan otomatis bertambah.

Strategy ini 90% selalu sukses.
Jika anda Trader dengan Standart Account, sebenarnya bisa melakukan trade disini cukup 1 (satu) kali satu bulan untuk target bulanan 100 pips. Maka dalam 3 bulan (hanya 3 kali trade anda sudah ROI).
Kuncinya adalah :
1. Ketahui Kapan Jadwal News NFP bakal muncul bulan ini, setiap hari JUMAT AWAL BULAN.
2. Siapkan Perangkap 100 pips di 10-30 menit menjelang News Muncul dengan Posisi seperti yang saya jelaskan tadi.
3. Jika anda sudah terbiasa dengan perangkap ini, gunakan Quantity 30 % dari Margin anda.
4. Nikmati hasilnya 1 bulan dan nunggu News NFP Bulan Depan untuk trade selanjutnya.

Hemat pulsa, libur trade 29 hari.

Simulasi,
Deposit $3000, anda trade dengan $1000 (Quantity 10.000), dengan keuntungan 1 pips = $10, dengan trade 15 menit sebulan sekali ini, 100 pips diperoleh sebagai target sehingga hasil bulanan cukup $1000.....(10 juta bro..... hanya dengan 15 menit sebulan sekali...), udah ngalahin gaji pegawai kantoran yang bekerja keras setiap hari nih..... ;p

Jadi wajib hukumnya trading forex pada saat news ini muncul hehe...



TIPS 3 : INTEREST RATE

Banyak berpendapat bahwa Efek News ini selalu menghasilkan pergerakan yang luar biasa dari currency pair. Tetapi penulis beranggapan bahwa Interest News ini di posisi sebagai berikut :

Coba anda lihat dulu posisi currency pair dalam market saat menjelang interest news release.
Jika currency pair berada dalam posisi tertekan, maka akan memberikan efek yang cukup luar biasa, namun jika currency pairnya tidak dalam posisi tertekan, rasanya efeknya juga tidak begitu besar.

Hal ini mengindikasikan bahwa yang penting dari Release Interest Rate “Kenaikan Suku Bunga” ini bukanlah News itu sendiri melainkan hanyalah proses KESEIMBANGAN dari currency tersebut.

Nah, kalau begitu…ngapain lagi eforia dengan Interest Rate…sampe-sampe gak tidur segala nungguin News nya release, lebih baik jika anda lakukan analisis terlebih dahulu posisi rate tersebut dengan posisi currency pair yang didukungnya.

Mempelajari FOREX memang agak rumit, tapi apa salahnya just follow the leader?

amati pergerakan dimana mereka ambil posisi BUY dan sell, kapan dan berapa mereka ambil STOP LOSS

dari arah pergerakan dan alasan mereka kenapa profit, kenapa loss kenapa no trade...

kita bisa ambil maknanya..

Friday, July 27, 2007

Using Bollinger Bands for Trading Large Cap Stocks

Using Bollinger Bands for Trading Large Cap Stocks

Using Bollinger Bands for Trading Large Cap Stocks
By CT Larsen




The Bollinger Band is the closest thing to 'The Holy Grail' of technical analysis there is. Especially for large cap stock traders, it just cannot be beat for analyzing charts. Having said that however, there is probably no other technical indicator misused or misunderstood as often as the Bolinger Band (BB). This article is to provide the technical analyst with the basics needed to interpret the many faces of the BB.



Before we begin, let me explain the type of trading done at http://livingonlargecaps.blogspot.com. We trade large cap stocks, we generally hold stocks for less than two months, and make about 3-5% on an average trade. Done over and over again throughout the year, we have made over 50% annual returns for the last three years.



Now lets discuss what the Bollinger Band (BB) is. In its standard usage, the BB is derived from taking the 20 day moving average of the stock price. And then adding and subtracting two standard deviations of that stock price and placing a line above the moving average and below the moving average. Now without having to re-visit my statistics classes of some 25 years ago, I will try to clarify a standard deviation. It is simply a measurement of how far the price has deviated above or below the moving average. A stock going through a particularly volatile patch, will see its BB's expand, and a stock going through a calm period, will see them contract.



BB's are available on most charting software. Yahoo has them on their technical analysis charts, as do most other web sites that are dedicated to technical analysis. If you are unfamiliar with them I urge you to right now, go experiment with them, using a few stocks and market indicators like the Dow, or Nasdaq.



If you are familiar with technical analysis, and use indicators such as the RSI or stochastic. You know one of the unique things about the BB's is they are placed right on the stock charts. They are viewed in the context of the actual price movements. In fact, for me, they define the stock chart. Stock charts tell me way more about future movement with the BB placed on them. I rarely do any analysis without them, except for perhaps an initial viewing of a stock chart I am considering for watch list placement. BB's therefore do not give you a number, like most other indicators, they don't tell you an overbought or oversold condition. They just provide a visual, a story, of where a stock has been. Therefor you have to interpret.



But what can be learned is crucial, to guessing what will happen next. BB's can help you predict price movements, like no other tool. The trick is, to know what to look for. In other articles I will present what I require a price pattern to look like before I even consider it. But for this article, realize that price patterns need to be structured, calm, heading up, down or flat. But they can't be erratic. Erratic price patterns are never worth trading..



If the upper band and the lower band are not moving in unison then the pattern is erratic. There is one exception to this rule, and that is at the beginning of a powerful up or down move. Remember, the bands tell you where the price will fall in relative to the 20 day moving average. Well, if a powerful move is underway, then the price is moving away from the average, and the bands expand. Once the bands expand it is too late to trade that move, but the stock is worth watching, one can climb on board on the next pull back.



But trading the way we do on our blog ,at http://livingonlargecaps.blogspot.com, that has produced greater than 50% return three years running, we like the bands to move in unison. That shows predictability. And predictability is crucial in getting large returns. It is not the home run we are looking for, just hit after hit after hit. Load the bases repeatedly and you generate runs. OK enough baseball analogy. Here is an example, take the chart HIG. With BB's in place look at the chart in early June 2005. It is just after the powerful upward move, that occurred in May. First notice in May how the BBs expanded, as the stock shot straight up. Then in June the bands moved in unison. Around mid June the stock touched its 20 day moving average, then its formation started to 'bowl' as it moved up. Buy it here. Once it hits a 5% profit move up a sliding stop, and ride the price up. Several things can be learned form this chart. The single most bullish pattern, is a stock that has small trading day ranges, and hugs the upper band. It rides it up between the 20 day average, and the top band. The bands are at an upward angle, that is not too steep. And everything moves in unison, both bands, the moving average, and most importantly for profits, the price.



If one should know anything about the stock market, it is this. It is ruled by emotions. Emotions are like springs, they stretch and contract, both for only so long. BB's measure this like no other indicator. A stock, especially widely traded large caps, with all the fundamental research in the world already done, will only lie dormant for so long, and then they will move. The move after such dormant periods will almost always be in the direction of the overall trend. If a stock is above it's 200 day moving average then it is in an uptrend, and the next move will likely be up as well.



Look at the chart CIT, with the BBs of course. See how in June 2005, the BB's contract late in the month. While the price touches the lower BB. See how the stock is above the 200 day moving average. And more importantly the slope of the 200 day moving average is upward. The stock clearly wants to move up. The bands are ridiculously close together. Buy right here, an oversold stock, moving upward, with narrow bands. What happens next is the bands expand, I call it fish lips, I love fish lips. This stock could have been bought in June sold at exhaustion as the bands had expanded with an upper band touch. And then re-purchased in July and done again. While fish lips provide remarkable entry signals, they generally aren't held as long as the upward unison movement of HIG mentioned above.



There you have the two most crucial lessons in Bollinger Bands. The HIG pattern I call riding the wave, and the CIT pattern I call fish lips. Riding the wave can usually be done longer up to two months, using stops along the way, one doesn't even really need to watch it, of course one can as they ca-ching in one those safe profits. The other pattern is fish lips, they are usually held for less than a month, and are exited upon upper band touches, or mare exactly retreats from upper band touches. (When the price touches the upper band and then retreats). Fish lips that re formed out of a flat pattern can often turn into 'riding the wave,' and then are held longer.




CT Larsen has been trading stocks since 1990. Now trading large cap stocks exclusively. He has recorded three straight years of greater than 50% annual returns. You can read his blog at http://livingonlargecaps.blogspot.com.



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=CT_Larsen
http://EzineArticles.com/?Using-Bollinger-Bands-for-Trading-Large-Cap-Stocks&id=74962

Relative Strength Index

Relative Strength Index

Relative Strength Index
By Ramano Richie




This is one of my favorites. I use this indicator at time scale of 5M, 1H, and 1D. So simple to be used and has helped me to have great result in my trades. You don't even need to be an expert to use this indicator.



This technical indicator was developed by Welles Wilder to help investors gauge the current strength of a stock's price relative to its past performance. The usefulness of this indicator is based on the premise that the RSI will usually top out or bottom out before the actual market top or bottom, giving a signal that a reversal or at least a significant reaction in stock price is imminent.



The main purpose of the RSI is to measure the market’s strength and weakness. A high RSI, above 70, suggests an overbought or weakening bull market. Conversely, a low RSI, below 30, implies an oversold market or dying bear market.



But RSI does not indicate a top or a bottom. Sometimes overbought market will be followed by little downward correction in order to gather momentum so it could go up much further. And sometimes oversold market will be followed by little upward correction in order to gather momentum so it could go down much further.



Click here to read more about this indicator and read other things to win forex trading.




Richie is a forex trader and forex technical analyst.
You may read my articles at:
Forex Library
and my daily technical analysis at my brother's blog:
Brian Signal



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Ramano_Richie
http://EzineArticles.com/?Relative-Strength-Index&id=212023

The Uses in Forex Trading of Moving Averages and MACD

The Uses in Forex Trading of Moving Averages and MACD

The Uses in Forex Trading of Moving Averages and MACD
By Adrian Pablo




Moving Averages: If you consider the "trend-is-your-friend" statement of technical analysis as a true sentence, the moving averages will be very helpful. Moving averages tell the average price in a given point of time over a defined period of time. They are called moving because they reflect the latest average, while adhering to the same time measure.



A weakness of moving averages is that they lag the market, so they do not necessarily signal a change in trends. To address this issue, using a shorter period, such as 5 or 10 day moving average, would be more reflective of the recent price action than the 40 or 150-day moving averages.



Alternatively, moving averages may be used by combining two averages of distinct time- frames. Whether using 5 and 20-day MA, or 40 and 150-day MA, buy signals are usually detected when the shorter-term average crosses above the longer-term average, i.e. price will likely go up. Conversely, sell signals are suggested when the shorter average falls below the longer one, i.e. price will likely go down.



There are three kind of mathematically distinct moving averages: Simple MA; Linearly Weighted MA; and Exponentially Smoothed. The latter choice is the preferred one because it assigns greater weight for the most recent data, and considers data in the entire life of the instrument making of it a more accurate indicator. More information here; http://www.1-forex.com



MACD: Moving Average Convergence Divergence: MACD is a more detailed method of using moving averages to find trading signals from price charts. Developed by Gerald Appel, the MACD plots the difference between a 26-day exponential moving average and a 12-day exponential moving average. A 9- day moving average is generally used as a trigger line, meaning when the MACD crosses below this trigger it is a bearish signal and when it crosses above it, it's a bullish signal, with the corresponding implications for the currency’s price in each particular situation.



As with other studies, traders will look to MACD studies to provide early signals or divergences between market prices and a technical indicator. If the MACD turns positive and makes higher lows while prices are still tanking, this could be a strong buy signal. Conversely, if the MACD makes lower highs while prices are making new highs, this could be a strong bearish divergence and a sell signal.




Adrian Pablo

Forex Trader and Freelance Writer

http://www.1-forex.com



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Adrian_Pablo
http://EzineArticles.com/?The-Uses-in-Forex-Trading-of-Moving-Averages-and-MACD&id=92214

Forex Trading Tool - The Three Trendline Strategy

Forex Trading Tool - The Three Trendline Strategy

Forex Trading Tool - The Three Trendline Strategy
By Michael A. Jones




Newcomers to trading the foreign exchange currency markets do well to accept the observation of experienced seasoned traders that the idea of a perfect Forex trading tool is an illusion.



While no perfect Forex trading tool exists, using a combination of tools to identify a converging of favorable market factors can yield a majority of high probability trades over a period of time.



Trendlines certainly deserve close consideration and many successful traders add them to their collection of Forex trading tools.



It should be stated at the outset that trendlines by themselves do not provide a strong enough signal to warrant making a trade. They are a useful addition and provide confirmation of signals from other tools. (See resource box for a visual example of using a trendline as a trade entry point)



The Three Trendline Strategy



Consider these three main types of trendlines you need to know and use if you are going to make any sense of trendlines.



Trendlines are lines drawn across significant lows in an uptrend, and significant highs in a downtrend. The more candles to the left and right of the lowest candle in an uptrend or the highest candle in a downtrend make the low or high point more significant.



1. Short Term Trendlines



Draw these lines across the most recent two lows (for an uptrend) or highs (for a downtrend). These are best observed on a smaller time frame such as a 15 minute or 30 minute chart.



2. Medium Term Trendlines



These are best observed on a higher time frame such as a 60 minute chart. Again connect the nearest significant low to current price action to the previous significant low in an uptrend or the nearest significant high to current price action to the previous significant high in a downtrend.



3. Long Term Trendlines



Use higher time frames such as the 4 hour chart or the daily chart to draw long term trendlines using the same method described for Medium Term Trendlines.



The long term trendline can be a powerful Forex trading tool. Keep in mind that the daily chart is used prominently by traders of big institutions. Such traders probably do not engage in small moves on an intra day level. They are more concerned about taking a position on a currency pair.



The daily chart is consulted by them when making decisions. So by drawing a trendline on a daily chart you can present to yourself graphically just where price is and where it is likely to either possibly bounce and retrace or continue with the current momentum.



Using Trendlines As An Effective Forex Trading Tool



Trendlines on the short time frame merely give you a defined picture of current price action. These trendlines are broken often during the course of a day. It is probably not a good idea to enter trades based on trendline breaks from a small time frame chart. Their main use is to give you a clear, instantly recognizable graphical representation of current price behavior.



However, here is where trendlines can prove to be a useful Forex trading tool:



If you notice price coming back to test a trendline on the higher time frames, (anything over 30 minutes), look at other factors. For example:





  • Draw in horizontal lines to mark key support and resistance using previous highs and lows.


  • Draw Fibonacci retracement and extension levels.


  • Calculate the daily pivot points and put them on your chart.


  • Have the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) shown on your charts.



Now, if price were to bounce or touch the trendline on the medium to higher time frames, that is, on the 60 minute, 4 hour, or even daily charts, does that price point also coincide with or match up with one of the other indicators mentioned above?



If for example the trendline intersects with a pivot point which is also a Fibonacci 50% or 62% retracement, or 127% or 162% extension, then you have a convergence of factors. If you entered a trade at that point there is a high probability you will catch at least 10 to 20 pips on the first move on the bounce.



Looking for such opportunities takes patience. They don't come up so often but when they do you can be ALMOST guaranteed a successful trade if you keep your first profit target to a reasonable level.



If trading multiple lots, then be sure to take your first profit at the 10 to 20 pip level and let one or two other lots run if price continues in the direction you anticipate. At the same time of course you would move up your stop to break even point after taking first profit so your trade can now run without risk.



Employ trendlines as a Forex trading tool with caution and discretion. Covering your charts with every trendline possible will only result in confusion and blurry analysis.



One or two trendlines at key or significant swing points, (price highs and lows) can give you a defined, clear picture of price action, which, when coupled with your other Forex trading tools, can result in profitable trades.




See how to use trendlines to get an optimum trade entry point:



http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/trendline.html



How do you trade the non-farm payroll report? Read this:



http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/Advisor/forex-strategy-non-farm-payroll.htm



For the best free economic calendars plus a free pivot point calculator and Fibonacci calculator click here:



http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/tools.html



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Michael_A._Jones
http://EzineArticles.com/?Forex-Trading-Tool---The-Three-Trendline-Strategy&id=554516

Forex Tools & Their Use In Successful Trading

Forex Tools & Their Use In Successful Trading

Forex Tools & Their Use In Successful Trading
By Adrian Pablo




As you start learning more about the Forex trading world and the many opportunities it can offer to traders of all sizes you will realize about the existence of many tools available to the Forex trader for analyzing the market as well as for buying and selling currencies pairs. These software tools are a necessity for the Forex trader because of the volume and volatility that characterizes the FX market.



In order to make successful trades, the Forex trader needs lots of information and current exchange rates, the most evident information you can find, are just the tip of the iceberg. A professional trader needs historical data as well as current information about political and economic conditions that could affect the behavior of currency prices.



Successful Forex trading is all about being able to predict whether a currency will fall or rise against another currency allowing the Forex trader to profit from those currency movements.



Most Forex trading can be characterized as speculative, this means the trader makes buying decisions based on predictions on how the market will respond to current political or economic events, and in order to be profitable with speculation the trader requires up-to-the-minute information and an analysis of current and historical conditions.



A number of tools are available to help you as a Forex trader, so you can minimize your risk and maximize your profits. For example:



Pivot Points, can be used to predict the up or down movements of currency prices. They are calculated as an average of the currencies high, low and closing prices. Pivot Points can tell you whether prices are inside the normal trading range or in the extreme trading ranges.



Risk Probability Calculator (RPC) can be used to identify trades that have more potential gain than potential loss. The RPC can also help you target exit points to end the trade.



Pip value calculators can tell you the actual profit or loss that will result from movements in the Forex markets.



Provided you have downloaded your broker?s trading station software, and once you have decided which currency pair to trade, you can log in to the trading station and then enter the desired currency pair as the current exchange rate appears on the screen. The amount of the trade is entered , this means, how much currency you are willing to buy. Some brokers may even give you the option of specifying the amount you wish to risk, automatically setting a 'stop loss rate' into your order.



After the details of the trade are entered, you will be taken to a confirmation screen where you can accept the current price on screen. You may be given the option of 'freezing' the quoted price, meaning the price of your transaction is exactly what you see on screen without any slippage. Accept the rate and you have placed your trade.



With the use of software tools you can enter a 'stop loss rate' to automatically sell the currency if it falls below a certain rate, avoiding possible losses and giving you peace of mind. But this is not all the automation you can get, you can also enter a 'take profit rate' to automatically sell the currency when it reaches a certain level. This way you won?t need to monitor your account all day in order to take profits once an acceptable number of pips have been earned.




Adrian Pablo is a Forex freelance writer with articles published in a number of places. Get a free report on Fibonacci Trading and learn more about the world of forex trading , visit:



=> http://www.1-forex.com



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Adrian_Pablo
http://EzineArticles.com/?Forex-Tools-and-Their-Use-In-Successful-Trading&id=221175

Forex Trading Tips

Forex Trading Tips

Forex Trading Tips
By John Gaines




Why do hundreds of thousands online traders and investors trade the forex market every day, and how do they make money doing it?



This two-part report clearly and simply details essential tips on how to avoid typical pitfalls and start making more money in your forex trading.



  1. Trade pairs, not currencies - Like any relationship, you have to know both sides. Success or failure in forex trading depends upon being right about both currencies and how they impact one another, not just one.





  2. Knowledge is Power - When starting out trading forex online, it is essential that you understand the basics of this market if you want to make the most of your investments.



    The main forex influencer is global news and events. For example, say an ECB statement is released on European interest rates which typically will cause a flurry of activity. Most newcomers react violently to news like this and close their positions and subsequently miss out on some of the best trading opportunities by waiting until the market calms down. The potential in the forex market is in the volatility, not in its tranquility.





  3. Unambitious trading - Many new traders will place very tight orders in order to take very small profits. This is not a sustainable approach because although you may be profitable in the short run (if you are lucky), you risk losing in the longer term as you have to recover the difference between the bid and the ask price before you can make any profit and this is much more difficult when you make small trades than when you make larger ones.





  4. Over-cautious trading - Like the trader who tries to take small incremental profits all the time, the trader who places tight stop losses with a retail forex broker is doomed. As we stated above, you have to give your position a fair chance to demonstrate its ability to produce. If you don't place reasonable stop losses that allow your trade to do so, you will always end up undercutting yourself and losing a small piece of your deposit with every trade.





  5. Independence - If you are new to forex, you will either decide to trade your own money or to have a broker trade it for you. So far, so good. But your risk of losing increases exponentially if you either of these two things:



    Interfere with what your broker is doing on your behalf (as his strategy might require a long gestation period);



    Seek advice from too many sources - multiple input will only result in multiple losses. Take a position, ride with it and then analyse the outcome - by yourself, for yourself.





  6. Tiny margins - Margin trading is one of the biggest advantages in trading forex as it allows you to trade amounts far larger than the total of your deposits. However, it can also be dangerous to novice traders as it can appeal to the greed factor that destroys many forex traders. The best guideline is to increase your leverage in line with your experience and success.





  7. No strategy - The aim of making money is not a trading strategy. A strategy is your map for how you plan to make money. Your strategy details the approach you are going to take, which currencies you are going to trade and how you will manage your risk. Without a strategy, you may become one of the 90% of new traders that lose their money.





  8. Trading Off-Peak Hours - Professional FX traders, option traders, and hedge funds posses a huge advantage over small retail traders during off-peak hours (between 2200 CET and 1000 CET) as they can hedge their positions and move them around when there is far small trade volume is going through (meaning their risk is smaller). The best advice for trading during off peak hours is simple - don't.





  9. The only way is up/down - When the market is on its way up, the market is on its way up. When the market is going down, the market is going down. That's it. There are many systems which analyse past trends, but none that can accurately predict the future. But if you acknowledge to yourself that all that is happening at any time is that the market is simply moving, you'll be amazed at how hard it is to blame anyone else.





  10. Trade on the news - Most of the really big market moves occur around news time. Trading volume is high and the moves are significant; this means there is no better time to trade than when news is released. This is when the big players adjust their positions and prices change resulting in a serious currency flow.





  11. Exiting Trades - If you place a trade and it's not working out for you, get out. Don't compound your mistake by staying in and hoping for a reversal. If you're in a winning trade, don't talk yourself out of the position because you're bored or want to relieve stress; stress is a natural part of trading; get used to it.





  12. Don't trade too short-term - If you are aiming to make less than 20 points profit, don't undertake the trade. The spread you are trading on will make the odds against you far too high.





  13. Don't be smart - The most successful traders I know keep their trading simple. They don't analyse all day or research historical trends and track web logs and their results are excellent.





  14. Tops and Bottoms - There are no real "bargains" in trading foreign exchange. Trade in the direction the price is going in and you're results will be almost guaranteed to improve.





  15. Ignoring the technicals- Understanding whether the market is over-extended long or short is a key indicator of price action. Spikes occur in the market when it is moving all one way.





  16. Emotional Trading - Without that all-important strategy, you're trades essentially are thoughts only and thoughts are emotions and a very poor foundation for trading. When most of us are upset and emotional, we don't tend to make the wisest decisions. Don't let your emotions sway you.





  17. Confidence - Confidence comes from successful trading. If you lose money early in your trading career it's very difficult to regain it; the trick is not to go off half-cocked; learn the business before you trade. Remember, knowledge is power.



The second and final part of this report clearly and simply details more essential tips on how to avoid the pitfalls and start making more money in your forex trading.





  1. Take it like a man - If you decide to ride a loss, you are simply displaying stupidity and cowardice. It takes guts to accept your loss and wait for tomorrow to try again. Sticking to a bad position ruins lots of traders - permanently. Try to remember that the market often behaves illogically, so don't get commit to any one trade; it's just a trade. One good trade will not make you a trading success; it's ongoing regular performance over months and years that makes a good trader.





  2. Focus - Fantasising about possible profits and then "spending" them before you have realised them is no good. Focus on your current position(s) and place reasonable stop losses at the time you do the trade. Then sit back and enjoy the ride - you have no real control from now on, the market will do what it wants to do.





  3. Don't trust demos - Demo trading often causes new traders to learn bad habits. These bad habits, which can be very dangerous in the long run, come about because you are playing with virtual money. Once you know how your broker's system works, start trading small amounts and only take the risk you can afford to win or lose.





  4. Stick to the strategy - When you make money on a well thought-out strategic trade, don't go and lose half of it next time on a fancy; stick to your strategy and invest profits on the next trade that matches your long-term goals.





  5. Trade today - Most successful day traders are highly focused on what's happening in the short-term, not what may happen over the next month. If you're trading with 40 to 60-point stops focus on what's happening today as the market will probably move too quickly to consider the long-term future. However, the long-term trends are not unimportant; they will not always help you though if you're trading intraday.





  6. The clues are in the details - The bottom line on your account balance doesn't tell the whole story. Consider individual trade details; analyse your losses and the telling losing streaks. Generally, traders that make money without suffering significant daily losses have the best chance of sustaining positive performance in the long term.





  7. Simulated Results - Be very careful and wary about infamous "black box" systems. These so-called trading signal systems do not often explain exactly how the trade signals they generate are produced. Typically, these systems only show their track record of extraordinary results - historical results. Successfully predicting future trade scenarios is altogether more complex. The high-speed algorithmic capabilities of these systems provide significant retrospective trading systems, not ones which will help you trade effectively in the future.





  8. Get to know one cross at a time - Each currency pair is unique, and has a unique way of moving in the marketplace. The forces which cause the pair to move up and down are individual to each cross, so study them and learn from your experience and apply your learning to one cross at a time.


  9. Risk Reward - If you put a 20 point stop and a 50 point profit your chances of winning are probably about 1-3 against you. In fact, given the spread you're trading on, it's more likely to be 1-4. Play the odds the market gives you.





  10. Trading for Wrong Reasons - Don't trade if you are bored, unsure or reacting on a whim. The reason that you are bored in the first place is probably because there is no trade to make in the first place. If you are unsure, it's probably because you can't see the trade to make, so don't make one.





  11. Zen Trading- Even when you have taken a position in the markets, you should try and think as you would if you hadn't taken one. This level of detachment is essential if you want to retain your clarity of mind and avoid succumbing to emotional impulses and therefore increasing the likelihood of incurring losses. To achieve this, you need to cultivate a calm and relaxed outlook. Trade in brief periods of no more than a few hours at a time and accept that once the trade has been made, it's out of your hands.





  12. Determination - Once you have decided to place a trade, stick to it and let it run its course. This means that if your stop loss is close to being triggered, let it trigger. If you move your stop midway through a trade's life, you are more than likely to suffer worse moves against you. Your determination must be show itself when you acknowledge that you got it wrong, so get out.





  13. Short-term Moving Average Crossovers - This is one of the most dangerous trade scenarios for non professional traders. When the short-term moving average crosses the longer-term moving average it only means that the average price in the short run is equal to the average price in the longer run. This is neither a bullish nor bearish indication, so don't fall into the trap of believing it is one.





  14. Stochastic - Another dangerous scenario. When it first signals an exhausted condition that's when the big spike in the "exhausted" currency cross tends to occur. My advice is to buy on the first sign of an overbought cross and then sell on the first sign of an oversold one. This approach means that you'll be with the trend and have successfully identified a positive move that still has some way to go. So if percentage K and percentage D are both crossing 80, then buy! (This is the same on sell side, where you sell at 20).





  15. One cross is all that counts - EURUSD seems to be trading higher, so you buy GBPUSD because it appears not to have moved yet. This is dangerous. Focus on one cross at a time - if EURUSD looks good to you, then just buy EURUSD.





  16. Wrong Broker - A lot of FOREX brokers are in business only to make money from yours. Read forums, blogs and chats around the net to get an unbiased opinion before you choose your broker.





  17. Too bullish - Trading statistics show that 90% of most traders will fail at some point. Being too bullish about your trading aptitude can be fatal to your long-term success. You can always learn more about trading the markets, even if you are currently successful in your trades. Stay modest, and keep your eyes open for new ideas and bad habits you might be falling in to.





  18. Interpret forex news yourself - Learn to read the source documents of forex news and events - don't rely on the interpretations of news media or others.








John Gaines

online trading, currency trading, financial service




A veteran of online trading, John Gaines offers the financial services industry his perspectives and expertise on a variety of trading systems and financial instruments, including forex, CFDs, futures, options and stocks.



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=John_Gaines
http://EzineArticles.com/?Forex-Trading-Tips&id=113582

How To Earn Serious Money With Forex

How To Earn Serious Money With Forex

How To Earn Serious Money With Forex
By Des Smith




The market



The currency trading (FOREX) market is the biggest and the fastest growing market on earth. Its daily turnover is more than 2.5 trillion dollars, which is 100 times greater than the NASDAQ daily turnover.



Markets are places to trade goods. The same goes with FOREX. The Forex goods (or merchandise) are the currencies of various countries. You buy Euro, paying with US dollars, or you sell Japanese Yens for Canadian dollars. That's all.



How does one profit in Forex?



Very simple and obvious: buy cheap and sell for more! The profit is generated from the fluctuations (changes) in the currency exchange market.



The nice thing about the FOREX market, is that regular daily fluctuations, say - around 1%, are multiplied by 100! (in general FOREX companies offer trading ratios from 1:50 to 1:200). If, for example, the exchange rate of "your" pair of currencies increased by 0.6% in the last 4 hours, your profit will be 60% on your investment! Such can happen in one business day, or in a few hours, even minutes.



Moreover, you cannot lose more than your "margin"! You may profit unlimited amounts, but you never lose more than what you initially risked and invested.



You can implement your choice (the pair of currencies, the volume amount) under any direction to which the market is moving, and yet make profit. It does not matter whether the exchange rate is going up or down: you can always decide to buy Euro and sell dollar, or vice versa - buy dollar and sell Euro. You don't have to physically possess certain currencies in order to perform "buy" or "sell" with them.



How do I trade Forex?



You select the pair of currencies with which you wish to make a Forex deal. You determine the volume (the amount of the deal). You deposit the "margin" (collateral needed to facilitate the deal. Usually - only a very small portion of the whole deal, say: 1% or 1:100).



Before you finally activate the deal, you can still "freeze" it for a few seconds. That enables you to either change the terms, or accept it as is, or altogether regret the whole idea. The "freeze" feature is a unique service.



When your Forex deal is running (you hold an "open position"), you can monitor its status and check scenarios online, whenever you wish. You may change some terms in the deal, or close it (and cash the profit, if any, or minimize the loss, if any). Moreover, some companies let you determine a "take-profit" rate, with which the deal will close automatically for you, when and if such rate occurs in the market. Meaning: you do not have to stay near your computer when you hold open positions.



Good luck!




Want to know more? Want to get on-line training? Click On The Link Below, we'll be glad to guide you, every step of the way.
http://www.easy-forex.com/Gateway.aspx?gid=46603&bid=29



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Des_Smith
http://EzineArticles.com/?How-To-Earn-Serious-Money-With-Forex&id=646432

The Top Four Forex Brokers

The Top Four Forex Brokers

The Top Four Forex Brokers
By Eddie Tobey




This article contends that the best forex brokers are: Saxo Bank, GAIN Capital, GCI Financial Ltd., and CMS Forex. CMS Forex accepts no commission, demands a small amount of only $200 to establish a mini account, provides users with a Free Demo account, provides leverage as high as 400:1, and has a 3 to 4 pip spread on major currencies.



Saxo Bank’s ForexTrading.com offers 24 hour online trading, streaming news from three major providers, detailed analysis from in-house experts, direct online chat to dealers, and a secure
trading environment.



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For individual investors, GAIN Capital operates FOREX.com, which offers advanced, yet easy-to-use trading tools along with lower account minimums and extensive educational resources.



GCI Financial is one of the world’s largest online brokers offering commission-free trading in Forex. GCI Financial offers Internet trading software, fast and efficient execution, and the low margin requirements. GCI Financial’s free trading software gives the investor the edge in execution, market information, and account management.



GCI Financial offers forex and indices on an online dealing platform. In their forex trading platform the trader can add and remove instruments from the ""dealing prices"" window to fully customize the trading.




Forex Broker Info provides detailed information on forex brokers, forex trading and market makers, and other forex-related topics. Forex Broker Info is the sister site of Incorporating in Florida Web.



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Eddie_Tobey
http://EzineArticles.com/?The-Top-Four-Forex-Brokers&id=68685

Thursday, July 26, 2007

Candlestick Patterns For Swing Traders

Candlestick Patterns For Swing Traders

Candlestick Patterns For Swing Traders
By Craig Ferguson




Candlestick charts are an effective way to study the emotions of other traders. Candlestick patterns provide a trader with a picture of human emotions that are used to make buy and sell decisions.



On a piece of paper, write down the following statement with a big black marker:



There is nothing on a chart that matters more than price. Everything else is secondary.



Take that piece of paper and tape it to the top of your monitor! I think too often swing traders get caught up in so many other forms of technical analysis that they miss the most important thing on a chart. You do not need anything else on a chart but candles to be a successful swing trader! There is nothing that can improve your trading more than learning the art of reading candlestick charts.



There are only two groups of people in the stock market. There are buyers and sellers. We want to find out which group is in control of the price action now. We use candles to figure that out. When stocks close at the bottom of the range we conclude that the sellers are in control. When stocks close at the top of the range we conclude that buyers are in control.



In the stock market, for every buyer there has to be a seller and for every seller there has to be a buyer. If a stock closes at the top of the range, this means that buyers were more aggressive and were willing to get in at any price. The sellers were only willing to sell at higher prices. This causes the stock to move up.



If a stock closes at the bottom of the range, this means that sellers were more aggressive and were willing to get out at any price. The buyers were only willing to buy at lower prices. This causes the stock to move down.



Where a stock closes in relation to the range tells us who is winning the war between buyers and sellers. This is the most important thing to know when reading candlestick charts. We can classify candles in two categories: wide range candles (WRC) and narrow range candles (NRC). Wide range candles state that there is high volatility (interest in the stock) and narrow range candles state that there is low volatility (little interest in the stock). Stocks tend to move in the direction of wide range candles.



The number one rule when reading candlestick charts is this: You want to buy a stock when nobody wants it and sell a stock when everybody wants it! This is the only way to consistently make money swing trading!



I know what you’re thinking. You thought this was going to be about hammers, doji’s, and shooting stars. Sorry to disappoint you, but knowing all of the different types of candlestick patterns is really not at all necessary once you understand why a candle represents the struggle between buyers and sellers.



Take the hammer candlestick pattern. What happened to make up this candle? The stock opened, then at some point the sellers took control of the stock and pushed it lower. But in the end, the buyers “won the war” and had enough strength to close the stock at the top of the range.



When we are reading candlestick charts, why would we need to know the name of the pattern? What we do need to know is why the candle looks the way that it does rather than spending our time memorizing candlestick patterns!




Craig Ferguson is a part-time swing trader. Visit Swing-Trade-Stocks.com to learn his complete swing trading strategy using technical analysis.



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Craig_Ferguson
http://EzineArticles.com/?Candlestick-Patterns-For-Swing-Traders&id=92342

Technical Analysis - Candlestick Basics

Technical Analysis - Candlestick Basics

Technical Analysis - Candlestick Basics
By David Thorpe




Background



It is believed that Candlestick trading first appeared sometime during the 19th Century. The development of the Candlestick is credited to Japanese rice traders and it is more than likely that the concept evolved over many years into what we see on our charts today.



Formation



Just like the traditional Bar chart, each Candlestick displays an open, high, low and close over a given time period. Depending on the fill of the body you can tell at first glance whether the candle closed higher or lower than it opened.
It is also important to pay attention to the high and low formations displayed by the shadows/ wick/ tails. These can form the basis of important Candlestick patterns that can help predict the future market direction.



Candle Vs Bar Vs Line



Most people prefer using a Bar or a Candlestick chart over a line chart because of the extra information displayed to the user. A line chart is unable to show highs and lows during a set time period and therefore it often fails to display vital information about the price action. As you can see from the picture below the same data over the same time period can look very different depending on the chart you use.



The reason why an individual would generally prefer to use a Candlestick over a traditional Bar chart is completely aesthetical. After all, both are displaying the same data but the filled Vs hollow structure of a candle’s body is very easy on the eye and quick to interpret.



Basic Interpretation of Bull Vs Bear



A Candlestick is designed to draw you a picture of the battle between bull and bear, fear and greed and demand Vs supply. There are many different patterns, each with their own significant meaning but you can interpret the basics as follows:



a) Long hollow/ filled Candles indicate that there was strong buying/ selling pressure during the given time period and the bulls/ bears were in complete control.



b) Small hollow/ filled Candles indicate a lack of market volatility with neither the bulls nor the bears able to move the market. This could be due to an impending data release or lack of true market direction.



c) Long lower shadows/ wick/ tails indicate the market was unable to maintain the selling pressure and hold for a close at low levels. This could be due to strong buying at important technical levels with the new low representing good support for the market.



d) Long upper shadows/ wick/ tails indicates strong buying pressure that was unable to be sustained. As above it could be due to technical levels and represents good resistance for the market, especially if the candle printed with high volume.



e) Long upper and lower shadows/ wicks/ tails indicate major market volatility and an inability of either the bulls or the bears to control the market. This often occurs at major data releases where the figures are unable to provide a clear indication to the future movement of the market.



What a Candlestick Doesn’t Show You



With these basic interpretations in mind we must now consider what a candle fails to show us that might be relevant to your interpretation on the price data. A Candle cannot show you which came first, the high or the low, or the order of events that occurred in-between. For example, a long filled candle shows selling pressure clearly overwhelming buying pressure but it could not alert you to a 50% retrace that occured during the day.



There are multiple combinations of price action that could occur during the Candle’s set time period. One way to overcome this lack of information is to switch between time frames. For example, if you are observing a chart with Candlesticks on a one day time period you can change the period to one hour, fifteen minutes and one minute to get an increasingly detailed view of each days price action. The process of switching between time frames is a very popular and important one with technical analysts.



Blended Candlesticks



As you switch through the time frames you will notice that longer-term Candlestick patterns are made up of many smaller time framed Candles. This is known as blending. The example below shows the many fifteen-minute Candles that came together to form the long filled one-hour Candles.



Diagrams: http://www.passion-trading.munbuns.com and navigate to the Articles section.




David Thorpe is a senior contributor for http://www.passion-trading.munbuns.com a free educational resource centre for traders and investors. The site has a dedicated forex
trading and currency trading
portal and its goal is to stimulate the minds of its users, enabling them to achieve a greater understanding the forex market, thus helping them to become more profitable.



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=David_Thorpe
http://EzineArticles.com/?Technical-Analysis---Candlestick-Basics&id=252877

Candlestick Charting

Candlestick Charting - Learn How to Make Bigger Trading Profits!

Candlestick Charting - Learn How to Make Bigger Trading Profits!
By Stephen Todd




The Japanese have used Candlestick charting for centuries.



Candlestick charting is more popular than ever today as it adds an extra dimension to trading to give any trader an edge.



If you are serious about making money, then you should consider candlestick-charting techniques.



History of Candlestick Charting



In the 1700's, Homma, a Japanese trader in rice, noticed how the price of rice was influenced by not only supply and demand, but also how the price was strongly influenced by the psychology of traders. He understood that when emotions came into play a vast difference between the value and the price of rice occurred.



This difference between the value and price of any commodity is as applicable to markets today as it was in rice centuries ago.



The re-emergence of Japanese candlestick charting in recent years owes much to the writing of Steve Nison, whose book, "Japanese charting techniques," is considered the definitive recent work on the subject.



Advantages of candlestick charts include:



1. They can Complement other Technical Tools



You can use Candlestick charts with a number of other common technical indicators such as stochastics, moving averages; Bollinger bands etc. and they can act as an additional filter for trades.



2. Provide Advance Warnings of Market Reversals



Because of the way candlestick charts are drawn, they can give warnings of market reversals far quicker than traditional bar charts, and are a great way to spot overbought or oversold scenarios.



This can of course improve market timing and bottom line profits.



3. They're Easy for Everyone to Use



Because candlestick charts use, the same open, high, low and close data that traditional bar charts use, they are easy to use for both novice and experienced traders.



4. Unique Insight into Market Momentum



The way the candlestick chart is drawn not only gives the direction of price, but also the momentum behind the market move. This is down to the way the candlestick chart graphically illustrates the relationship behind the open, high, low, and close by the drawing of the candlestick chart.



Just like a bar chart, a daily candlestick line contains the market's open, high, low and close for the days trading.



However, candlestick charting adds an extra dimension in the way that they are drawn.
The candlestick has a wide part, called the "real body." This real body represents the range between the open and close of that day's trading.



When filled in black, the real body means the close was lower than the open.



If the real body is empty, it means the exact opposite: the close was higher than the open.
Above and below the real body are the "shadows." Chartists see these as the wicks of the candle, and it is the shadows that show the high and a low price of that day's trading.



If the upper shadow on the filled-in body is short, it indicates that the open that day was closer to the high of the day. Conversely, a short upper shadow on a white or unfilled body indicates the close was near the high.



5. Candlesticks Made Easy



Candlestick charting programs such as Supercharts, Tradestation, Incredible charts and many others include candlestick charting as a standard option, making them easy to incorporate into your trading strategy.



If you are trading with Fibonacci numbers, Dow Theory or a breakout method, candlestick charts can be incorporated and give an extra dimension to your trading.




>To find out more about candlestick charting and how you can increase your trading profits, visit our site: http://www.financial-trading-success.com



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Stephen_Todd
http://EzineArticles.com/?Candlestick-Charting---Learn-How-to-Make-Bigger-Trading-Profits!&id=79056

Japanese Candlestick Charts

Japanese Candlestick Charts

Japanese Candlestick Charts
By Tim Grimsley




When asked to time about the advantage of japanese, I stated that I they definitely had a positive impact on my account. Candlesticks make trading a lot easier for me. To draw a comparison, I would say that plain bar charts are to candlesticks, as radio is to color television. They are a movie playing out in front of you, the key is learning to interpret the scenes.
Candlesticks allow you to see at a glance what type of "mood" the market is in. Are the bulls or bears winning the battle?



Classic candlesticks are originally from Japan, hence the name. In traditional candlesticks are filled or hollow to indicate market direction. Most chart companies today serve them as green and red. The green bars indicate the market has move higher in price, while the red indicates lower prices.



Candlesticks are also read by patterns, this type of interpretation takes a little while to master. Those who use the patterns to daytrade must have extensive practice at spotting them. Daytrading is a fast moving game and you must be able to recognize the different patterns almost instantly.



I trade patterns rarely. Instead I use candlestick indications combined with other indicators to form an overall picture of market patterns and direction. For those new to trading I would suggest that they learn to read candlestick charts right from the start. If I were starting out again that is exactly what I would do.




Continue



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Tim_Grimsley
http://EzineArticles.com/?Japanese-Candlestick-Charts&id=247220

Candlestick Charting

Candlestick Charting – Adding a Visual Dimension To Your Trading

Candlestick Charting – Adding a Visual Dimension To Your Trading
By Stephen Todd




Candlestick charting is great for traders wanting an extra edge in their quest for profits - this is due to the way the candle bodies are drawn, that gives a better insight that is visual, and shows trader psychology.



More traders than ever are using candlestick charts due to the extra trading edge they can get with this form of charting - if you have not used them before, then this article is for you.



Candlestick charts are not new, and have been used for hundreds of years by Japanese traders to predict and act on market movements.



Candlestick charting giving greater insight into human psychology



In the 1700's, Homma, a Japanese trader in rice, noticed how the price of rice was influenced by human psychology as much as the supply and demand situation. Homma used candlestick charts to trade rice and amassed a huge fortune in the markets. In fact, it was rumored he never to have had a single losing trade!



Human psychology has never changed, and has remained constant over time - candlestick charting is therefore just as useful today, as it was hundreds of years ago.



The Re-emergence of Candlestick Charting



Steve Nison, book, "Japanese charting techniques," bought candlestick charting back into the public domain in the 1990s. Currency traders soon started using candlestick charting instead of bar charts for greater insight into market movements.



So why use Candlestick Charts?



1. They complement other Technical Tools



You can use candlestick charts as you would use the common bar chart, and you can combine them with traditional market indicators. Candlestick charts are a great way to spot opportunities, and then filter, and time trades with other indicators.



2. Spotting trend changes



Because of the way candlestick charts are viewed, they can give warnings of market reversals, far more visually than traditional bar charts.



If you look at candlestick charting, the human psychology of the move literally jumps out the page at you.



3. Straightforward to use



Candlestick charts use, the same open, high, low and close data that traditional bar charts use, and are easy to draw.



In addition, there are many packages like supercharts and tradestation that will draw them automatically for traders.



The different candle names are also easy to remember.



4. Define market momentums



The way the candlestick chart is drawn not only gives the direction of price, but also the momentum behind the move.



The candlestick chart graphically illustrates the relationship behind the open, high, low, and close by the body - and adds an extra visual edge, due to the way they are drawn.



The candlestick has a wide part, called the "real body." This real body represents the range between the open and close of that day's trading.



When filled in black, the real body means the close was lower than the open.



If the real body is empty, it means the opposite - the close was higher than the open.



Above and below the real body we see the "shadows." We see these as the wicks of the candle (which give them their name), and the shadows actually show the high and the low of the day's trading.



If the upper shadow on the filled-in body is short, it indicates that the open that day was closer to the high of the day. On the other hand, a short upper shadow on a white, or unfilled body shows the close was near the high.



A Visual Aid to Give You an Edge



Candlestick charts should be used rather than traditional bar charts because they give you an extra visual dimension.



Regardless, of whether you are a day trader, position trader, system trader or a trader who likes to make your own trades, there is really nothing to dislike about candlestick charts!



Easy and fun to use, and providing a greater insight into market moves, along with the ability to use in any type of trading, means if you aren’t already using candlestick charting, then its time to start.




New! A valuable FREE Currency Trader CD containing 9 critical trading reports, tips, strategies and candlestick charting. Visit our web site now and grab your CD http://www.tradercurrencies.com



Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Stephen_Todd
http://EzineArticles.com/?Candlestick-Charting---Adding-a-Visual-Dimension-To-Your-Trading&id=184632